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Apple Jumps After Beating Top & Bottom Line; Solid iPhone Sales And China Performance

With Amazon blowing away expectations and guiding to solid revenue growth, it was all up to the world's biggest company, AAPL, to complete the tech giant earnings parade. And AAPL did not disappoint, reporting top and bottom line results which both beat, while easing concerns that supply chain snags and a shaky economy would ravage the tech giant’s sales.

Here are the details:

  • EPS $1.20 vs. $1.30 y/y, beating estimates $1.16
  • Gross margin $35.89 billion, +1.8% y/y
  • Revenue $82.96 billion, +1.9% y/y, beating estimates $82.76 billion
    • Products revenue $63.36 billion, -0.9% y/y, beating estimates $62.44 billion
    • IPhone revenue $40.67 billion, +2.8% y/y, beating estimates $38.85 billion
    • Mac revenue $7.38 billion, -10% y/y, missing estimates $8.45 billion
    • IPad revenue $7.22 billion, -2% y/y, beating estimates $6.93 billion
    • Wearables, home and accessories $8.08 billion, -7.9% y/y, missing estimate $8.82 billion

Some more details from the quarter:

  • Greater China rev. $14.60 billion, -1.1% y/y
  • Service revenue $19.60 billion, +12% y/y, missing estimate $19.75 billion

Commenting on the results, Apple's CFO Luca Maestri said that “we set a June quarter revenue record and our installed base of active devices reached an all-time high in every geographic segment and product category. During the quarter, we generated nearly $23 billion in operating cash flow, returned over $28 billion to our shareholders, and continued to invest in our long-term growth plans.”

Meanwhile, in an interview with Bloomberg, Tim Cook said that the company will be “deliberate” in its spending amid the economic downturn, but will continue to invest: “We believe in investing through downturns. We’ve always done that and have found that made us stronger on the other side,” Cook said. “That’s the frame of mind we go into. Obviously we are being deliberate in our decisions of where to invest.” This essentially confirms that while AAPL will slow hiring and spending in some areas, it will continue to invest in hot areas like AR and AI.

Cook also said that Apple saw “significant improvement” in June for both supply and demand in China and that the company had “really strong results” ahead of the June 18 shopping holiday in China.

Finally, looking ahead, while AAPL does not give formal guidance, Cook said that he expects revenue to accelerate in the fourth quarter despite “some softness.” He conceded that macroeconomic headwinds hurt the third quarter, particularly on wearables and digital advertising.

Eslewhere, there was no new buyback announcement after last quarter's $90BN blockbuster, and the company just declared a simple cash dividend of 23c to shareholders. Of note, AAPL repurchased $22BN in stock in fiscal Q3, in line with the historical buyback pace; as a result the number of shares Apple uses to determine per-share earnings, on a diluted basis, fell to 16.3 billion by June 25, from 16.8 billion a year earlier.

As noted above, AAPL beat on most sales categories, except wearables and Mac sales, with IPhone sales at $40.7 billion, +2.2% y/y, and above estimates $38.9 billion. iPad sales came in at $7.2BN, down 2% Y/Y but also beating estimates of $6.93BN, while Mac sales missed estimates of $8.45N, dropping 10% to $7.38BN. This was the first decline in Macbook sales since the start of the pandemic. Finally, wearables also disappointed, with total sales of $8.08BN which were down 7.9% Y/Y, and also missing the $8.82BN estimate.

As noted above, Apple also reported another solid, if not blowout, quarter for Service Revenues - meaning Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple Music and iCloud subscriptions - which rose to $19.60BN, missing expectations of $19.75BN and below the record high hit last quarter...

... although the annual increase of 12.1% was the lowest since 2015.

The geographic breakdown was also solid: most areas showed a boost in sales, apart from a minor drop in China - which was far better than the plunge many had expected - and a notable decline in Japan. The Americas remains AAPL's largest sales area with $37.5 billion of revenue in the quarter. China was down to $14.6 billion, dropping 1.1%, which however was well below consensus estimates as many had feared China's lockdowns would adversely impact both sales and supply chains - particularly around the iPhone.

And in dollar terms.

Bottom line: Apple did fairly well - if certainly not stellar - despite not releasing any new products in the third quarter. Its last major product cycle was in March, with the new iPhone SE, Mac Studio, iPad Air, green iPhone 13 models and Apple Studio Display.

And while the results could have been better (if not in a global recession), they were certainly strong enough to push the stock notably higher, although as a reminder, last quarter the conference call clobbered the stock price so be careful for surprises out of the media call.

Tyler Durden Thu, 07/28/2022 - 17:03
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